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Also got Tam Lin Gawain after I finished my latest reendition of trauma for the SS AU
Yeah idk. I have the entire Fairy Kingdom staff now tho. no skill mats tho 'cause I don't farm very well nowadays lol
Arknights probability analysis coming probably the day after tomorrow!
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Btw is it just me or is YouTube really ramping up the 2-ads-in-a-row thing? Coupled with them being too long too
And the new annoying design for the progress bar on the bottom too (@YouTube - don't think I don't notice how this is your way to try to get the viewer to stare at the ad's proximity and/or stay on the page to skip lol)
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Love how whenever something IRL happens I'm like "Ah yes I resonate with the deeply sated Chinese poet's desire to be a hermit"
I definitely think I have no problem just mostly admiring scenery and writing/drawing all day. In fact I think that'd be pretty ideal. No alcohol though, that's where I start disappointing the ancestors lol
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I eat 2 cheese sticks a day to keep the lactose intolerance away
Btw the other day I learnt that apparently there's a term called "sinodonty" which just means that people of Chinese descent just tend to have a specific dental pattern. For instance, the back of the upper incisors are kinda shovel-shaped, and they tend to be not as well aligned with the other teeth.
I then spent some time looking at my teeth, and I don't have the alignment issue (and no I don't have braces), but the shovel shape is definitely there. Which is cool. I thought everyone's teeth looked like that. Ig that just means I didn't spend enough time staring at teeth.
I'm always interested in stuff like this, 'cause I have some suspicion that some of my ancestors were from further away, and some of the traits that came from that side of the family clearly run counter to some Chinese traits (specifically a gene related to swelly sweat). The lactose tolerance is an example of something that feels a bit out-of-par, since the vast majority of Chinese are apparently lactose intolerant and ik my mom's family seems to be pretty tolerant of it.
I'm gonna have to stare at my mom's teeth at some point lol (this is super interesting to me)
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Randomly got bowled over by the thought of the Not-Quad Squad going camping
The fact that Raez would love it while the rest just absolutely hate it lol (guess whose idea it was?). Wiley and Dion sulking in their tents even though there are marshmallows while Rai stares vacantly into the distance asking where is his computer.
It was funny already, but what really made me bowl over was the fact that I've been thinking a lot about the SS AU, and the reactions would literally be the same. Just this group of people capable of reaching light speed who Do Not Want to be out in the wild. And this one dude who got himself a scorpion friend and has started a bonfire for it with baked drumsticks
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Vilhelm: Sir why are we here again
Dion: I don't k n o w
Mitsuharu: (*possibly asleep under the mask, either that or he went catatonic*)
Raez: Hey guys wanna go catch some fish from the river (:
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Chat if he comes to me in the gacha when I have 119/120 shards for him and have spent the last month or so waiting to scratch him out of the abyss, does he love or hate me DEATHMASKKKK
Unexpectedly I am here to report the result of 110 pulls, but from SSA rather than Arknights
I got: Deathmask, Aiolos (fluffy hair supreme), Poseidon (the explanation behind this one is legit the guy I drew yesterday), Aiolia (I drew SS!Dion like 3 times yesterday), and God Cloth Seiya, so basically out of 110 pulls I got 4 S characters and one SS, which tbh is not what I thought would happen.
See, insane hair commentary works
But anyways Deathmask happened the first multi and I am still flabbergasted. Bro was waiting the whole time for the ultimate troll
My flex of the day:
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I really liked OF-ST5.
Actually I accidentally just speedran the entire event story today lol.
But anyways, really neat. I do feel like there is a very specific type of nostalgia that's reserved for places. But what if that place is a country? I can't quite relate with that sort of grand notion, but I do miss places that I've called home, and I think people who love their countries just have that on a grander scheme. That's probably why some of them go to some extremes. Everyone likes keeping their hand on what goes on in their homes, after all.
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Also wrestled 14-21 Adverse today and nearly went insane. I did pass it in the end tho, so that's good.
Definitely short on sanity now (I retried it like 60 times)
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The long-awaited, statistically-inaccurate probability analysis that no one asked for (:
but actually I am just curious lol. Doing this to indulge myself
Total rolls on this banner: 112
5-stars obtained: 12 (not counting free copy of Fang the Fire-Sharpened), 11 (not counting guaranteed 5-star on first multi)
6-stars obtained: 2
For the 5-stars, I had an average probability of 11/112 (excluding the guaranteed operator as mentioned), which is around 9.82%. The probability of getting a 5* per roll is around 8%, which lines up with me feeling like I get pretty lucky with 5-stars, but also doesn't line up all that well because. yeah. It's statistically insignificant or something but I appreciate 'em anyways lol
I did not log the number of 4* and 3* potentials that I got lol. Let me know if you want me to do this in the future please do not, or else I'll have to start logging every single pull to know what happens at every number of rolls and uhhh
Biggest result is full potential Fang Alter (one obtained from 75 of the token currency and not counted here, but 5/12 of the 5-stars were her)
That more or less aligns with the 50% probability of me getting Fang Alter if the rarity of the Operator is 5-stars. See, that's 41.67%. But this is not really accurate since every 5* roll result is determined separately. Again, this is an average look for fun. Onto the 6-star results
The default rate of obtaining any 6-star is 2% (it increases every 50 rolls, and I definitely got a 6-star every 50 rolls, so I don't think the rate ever increased to 4% in the process. However, I did not log the roll counts so it's possible one of the 6-stars was influenced by this. I do not think it did tho)
2/112 makes for a mean 1.79% rate of a 6-star acquisition for me, though this is statistically inaccurate because (I believe) every roll is mostly determined independently. In other words, every roll is a coin flip, excluding the guaranteed 5-star-or-above rarity operator from the first multi.
Now, both 6-stars acquired were not Logos or Wis'adel (spooks basically), and neither were they Specter Alter/Texas Alter/Muelsyse. So basically combining the fact that Logos and Wis'adel were supposed to account for 70% of the odds when rolling a 6-star, coupled with the 2% drop rate of 6* Operators, yields a 0.6% probability chance that I'd get a 6* who was not Logos or Wis'adel each time (and this is statistically correct because it treats the results as separate)
Banner information says that Specter Alter/Texas Alter/Muelsyse have a "other character drop rate [30%] 5x rate boost", which I'm not completely sure the meaning of, but for now I'm just gonna guess that when you don't get the 70% outcome above (Logos or Wis'adel), you're supposed to be 5 times more likely to get one of these three compared to anyone else. That yields an approximately 83.35% chance of getting one of them when getting a non-Logos/Walter 6* result, and ofc a 16.65% chance of not getting any of the above. As mentioned, I didn't get any of them three either for each 6* result, which means that in addition to the 0.6% probability chance mentioned above, I obtained a result that had a 0.099% chance of happening each time I got one of those 6*s, just considering how rate-up was set up.
I will then consider the full list of 6-star operators who were available on this banner. Their number totals 53. That means that for me getting Penance specifically (since she was on my wishlist), I'd have a 1/53 (1.89%) chance of getting her from a 6-star roll with no rate-up. Coupled with the above probabilities influenced by rate-up, me being able to acquire her specifically from the list of 53 6* operators was effectively a 0.00187% chance that manifested in reality.
Love you too Penance (and you Mountain lol)
Addition: Notice 3 elaborates somewhat on the 5x rate boost, saying that the probability of obtaining other 6* operators (except Wis'adel and Logos) "decreases proportionally until" the probability of obtaining Specter Alter/Texas Alter/Muelsyse is 5x the rate of obtaining other 6*s (again, not Logos or Walter). But that just means that I have no way of knowing what the rate is at any given point since it follows some kind of progression path that isn't disclosed. So just assume the actual odds of getting a 6* who aren't any of the on-rate-up limited 6-stars is slightly higher than what I have calculated, assuming that I'm doing my probability math correctly anyways, which is kinda a big assumption lol
I like math (:
Anyone who's taken statistics, feel free to correct me lol, I just feel like just feeling lucky or unlucky every gacha is kinda...well let's just say I like doing this xD it's fun.
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I still find it funny that both Arknights and SSA have weird rate-ups for me though lol, like for instance today Asmita was on rate-up. Do you see an Asmita? You do not.
I'm pretty sure the only rate-up Saint I've ever gotten from SSA is Kardia, and then he came again on non-rate-up. Everyone else just backs away from me. Slooowly
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It feels like Windows 10 came out yesterday, but suddenly Microsoft is making it defunct?
Yeah this feels really exploitative lol. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Arknights has a new temporary co-op game mode!
If only I had friends who would play it huh (:
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GalaxianExplosion wrote:
Arknights has a new temporary co-op game mode!
If only I had friends who would play it huh (:
-Galaxian-
GalaxE please I only have so much storage space
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Worst thing about police cam videos isn't the violence/graphic content/shouting/general upsetting situations but rather the bigoted comments underneath 💀
Nothing quite like people trying to use videos to rationalize their assumptions of huge groups of people while not doing the same for videos that show people of the same demographics as them 💀 like sure buddies, it's a "bad apple" or a few when they look like you lol
Funniest example I can give of this is videos of the same general situation--a kid who is way underage driving a car around, usually for non-malicious purposes but still, well, not being supposed to do it because they're too small and young and irresponsible. Certain videos will have the comments just be making jokes or even saying that the kid is sooo capable for being able to drive themselves. Wow, they're so independent and smart! Meanwhile, certain other videos will be stuff like "looks like a future criminal in the making". Like bruh. Both of those situations are clearly problematic, and if you ask me, it looks like neither of those kids are on a good path.
And I'm not saying people can't teach young kids to drive in very isolated places if that's what they need, like maybe to operate farm machinery or something, and that's if the kids are ready. But honestly. Yeah.
Anyways usually I find this funny, but rn I'm kinda done
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Echowo wrote:
GalaxianExplosion wrote:
Arknights has a new temporary co-op game mode!
If only I had friends who would play it huh (:
GalaxE please I only have so much storage space
Bro is saying no to the game that has a collab with Dungeon Meshi and a welfare grandma operator because of "storage space", like honestly just expand it with your mind, bro. Is it that hard
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Why are there like 115 guests online
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Hey F/GO and Limbus, at least when Arknights lags it's 'cause it's because there's another player on the other end. What's your excuse
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Love how this game mode has gotten me like 20 new friends lol
Btw it's apparently been half a year, and I had around 5 friends. So gaining 4 times the amount in one day is something for sure.
Kinda reeling from it 'cause now I have no idea how I'm supposed to do clue delivery and base visiting each day :') but honestly I really loved playing with all these people even if I synchronize worse with some than with others (firing football backwards into the goal moment), so it's a win-win
Also I'm not as bad as I expected. Maybe I should stop putting down operators when their healers aren't ready, but that's the biggest issue I've been seeing. Ofc a lot of the really experienced players clearly carry damage-wise, but I'm contributing and really that's all that matters to me lol.
Btw the football mode is fun if you don't make it frustrating in your mind. I had a lot of fun in particular just getting Ray to handle the ball, and it's so funny if you imagine the operators playing with their weapons rather than just playing the normal way. The most dangerous and most hilarious way to play indeed.
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I kinda feel like the football gamemode is one where I'd fail at coordinating with people even with voice chat. It's 100% just...if I can somehow sync with the other person then we're good, otherwise no amount of directions would help us any
But teambuilding would probably be more fun with a voice chat (I say as most people just bring Logos or Walter and nuke everything)
---
Edit: I really forgot to say Happy Birthday to Hitan, love you bro <3
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Bruh I said "I want to remember how to write" not "I wanna start writing 10 pages of trauma for myself again"
Also took a look at Time Odyssey's latest chapter 'cause there is no English translation coming (apparently) and I can't search it up in Chinese or I'll be going through the equivalent of a wormhole
I appreciate the authors not pwning Milo and Kanon for a point. At least I think. They do their signature moves for fanservice (I Am the Fans) and then they just...uhh sit there? Or leave? At least when Milo's there, Athena doesn't get kidnapped again.
Also I think I see some past segments for how Hyoga came to be under Camus' care, which is cool. Not canon but so cool. And I don't think I see any extra child abuse in this spinoff so win win
I came across this entire post of mine that I never posted analyzing Aphrodite's character, which is really funny
I'm gonna have to open a new document soon. Rn it's like...400 pages and Google Docs does not like that.
I still don't know who the latest SSA skin is for.
Btw if this post formatting doesn't make it obvious, the SS AU (I might rename it a lil but for now I'll just keep calling it that) is in my brain rn, as it has been the past few days
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Designing Asa (finally I think I'm getting the hang of it) and I enjoy how he either looks like baby or like he's about to own your face
I like to think it's the duality of how his martial siblings see him vs. literally everyone else /j I feel like everyone just thinks he's kinda cute
Destroying my sleep schedule for these people btw. This AU is a contest to see who makes my life more difficult
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The art style of Omega may remind me of smashed pancakes, but lemme just reiterate--the scarf+armour combo is peak I like scarves
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Here lemme illustrateit's not a scarf
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I feel like Asa's the type who mistook sprinkles for a spice and has come to regret it ever since Aureole and Lucille are hooked on the stuff for some reason and they can't for the love of Athena understand why, but the fact remains--they cannot escape.
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I have a sneaking suspicion that Asa might look better in the Pisces Cloth just 'cause of the collar shape,,, yeah idk what Aureole looks like I think I peaked at F/DA Sunny in terms of designing him lol it's been 3 AUs and downhill from there
I also still dunno what Naira looks like so uh, let's hope most of the martial siblings got their looks from Lucina (who I have a much better point of reference for)
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Ignore how I've drawn HPA Sunny 0 times btw. I think the saltier he is the more I get annoyed, and thus the more I refuse to draw him
Totally unrelated to how I've drawn like. 0 of the cast there btw. They exist but not artistically. Fantasy is just so much coooooooler.
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-Galaxian-Watched Bamboo-Hatted Kim regen 999 health after I finally got him to 87 health in Mirror Dungeon.
Nope, that's it, I'm done. (for today)
Goodbye.
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Love how the most durable things in Sanctuary are not the Cloths or whatever but rather the clock and Aiolos' hella good rushed handwriting
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Also hilarious to imagine the Gold Saints are all just hovering near Saori (protecting her) and the best thing they can come up with to try to get her to remember everything is just furiously projecting Aiolos' writing
(it's working, apparently)
My guys are so silly they have tactical acumen I swear
-Galaxian-